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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+2.48vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.68+2.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+1.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+0.67vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.01+4.59vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-4.51vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.15+1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.93-3.74vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35-3.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.49-7.16vs Predicted
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14Williams College0.59-3.63vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.45-7.63vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.03-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.13Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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11.59McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.49Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.64Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.75University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.37Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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8.37Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.93Bates College-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 21.2% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 23.6% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Simon Li | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 24.0% | 26.8% | 16.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 27.8% | 20.2% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 5.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Geoff Ryder | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 20.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.