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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.74vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+5.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+5.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.65+5.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.15+5.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+1.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.40+2.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.38-3.87vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-3.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-5.28vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-2.18vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.21-2.76vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-1.52vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.81vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.85-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Harvard University3.0517.0%1st Place
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7.58Connecticut College2.297.3%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.775.6%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.654.4%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.152.6%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.458.0%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.404.3%1st Place
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5.73Yale University2.7311.7%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.3%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.7%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.085.5%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.346.4%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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12.24Salve Regina University1.212.1%1st Place
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14.48Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
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15.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont0.852.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 29.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 38.3% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.