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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+6.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+2.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+3.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+2.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.15+2.90vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-1.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.40-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.77-2.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-6.21vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.85-1.77vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.21-2.67vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.24-4.17vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.54vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Roger Williams University2.457.8%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University3.0516.2%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.347.4%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.683.3%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.152.8%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College2.298.8%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.7311.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston University1.654.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont0.852.1%1st Place
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12.33Salve Regina University1.212.2%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University1.242.1%1st Place
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14.46Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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15.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 28.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.