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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48-0.55vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19-0.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.94-3.23vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.01+2.30vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.45-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35-2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.93-4.69vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.49-7.16vs Predicted
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14Williams College0.59-3.60vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-0.15-4.31vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.03-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.45Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.35Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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4.77Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.3McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.32Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.69University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.4Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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11.69Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.92Bates College-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 24.5% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 21.6% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Li | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 15.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| William Dykes | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 29.8% | 19.3% |
| Geoff Ryder | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.