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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+6.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+1.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.34+2.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+2.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+3.69vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.65+2.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-2.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.24+0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.85-0.89vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-5.39vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42-0.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.57vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.38-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Yale University2.7313.6%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.294.6%1st Place
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4.36Harvard University3.0517.9%1st Place
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6.88Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College2.297.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.153.3%1st Place
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9.17Boston University1.654.3%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.5%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.457.5%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University1.242.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.3%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont0.852.4%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.086.2%1st Place
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13.01Fairfield University0.421.5%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.3%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.388.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 22.9% | 28.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 40.9% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.