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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+1.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.59+1.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+0.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.71-0.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.78-0.70vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.48-0.97vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.79-3.57vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.85-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.21-3.57vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.43-2.63vs Predicted
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16Williams College-1.47-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.68Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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4.86Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University1.550.1%1st Place
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8.3University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.03Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
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8.43McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.63Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.37Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.45Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 30.3% | 23.5% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 17.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 12.8% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 7.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 12.9% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 26.0% | 16.7% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 5.3% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 26.7% | 36.8% |
| Allison Carter | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.