← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.34+5.81vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.73+3.44vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.29+3.94vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.05+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.38+1.62vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.17vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.65+2.09vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.45-1.45vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.08-1.45vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.13vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.24-0.38vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.29-3.53vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.85-1.85vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University0.42-1.08vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.15-5.12vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.81Boston College2.348.1%1st Place
-
5.44Yale University2.7311.2%1st Place
-
6.94Connecticut College2.297.5%1st Place
-
4.43Harvard University3.0517.0%1st Place
-
6.62Dartmouth College2.388.4%1st Place
-
9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.2%1st Place
-
9.09Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
-
6.55Roger Williams University2.458.3%1st Place
-
7.55Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.2%1st Place
-
10.62Northeastern University1.242.8%1st Place
-
8.47Brown University2.295.4%1st Place
-
11.15University of Vermont0.852.6%1st Place
-
12.92Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
-
9.88Tufts University2.152.7%1st Place
-
13.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 29.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.