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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.11vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+3.07vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05-0.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+1.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.06+0.56vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.65+1.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.85+1.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.24-0.43vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+1.02vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.29-4.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.15-4.30vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.45-8.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.6%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.684.0%1st Place
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7.07Connecticut College2.298.3%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University3.0516.7%1st Place
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7.07Boston College2.347.8%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.067.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston University1.653.8%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.388.6%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.242.4%1st Place
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13.02Fairfield University0.421.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.295.2%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.153.4%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.459.2%1st Place
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13.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| William Michels | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 30.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 19.7% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.