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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+2.17vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.71+3.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41-1.14vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85-1.05vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.79+2.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78+0.34vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.85+1.60vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-4.36vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.21-1.53vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.48-3.98vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.43-3.62vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.47-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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3.95Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.41McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.34University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.6Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.02Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
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12.38Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.44Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 28.4% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jesse Thomas | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 24.0% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| William Bloxham | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 26.2% | 37.5% |
| Allison Carter | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 26.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.