← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.36+3.77vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.55+4.47vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.79+5.25vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.85-0.16vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.41-2.15vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-0.21+4.52vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.24vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.71-2.77vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.59-6.57vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.78-3.60vs Predicted
-
14Brandeis University-0.85-2.36vs Predicted
-
15Williams College-1.47-2.48vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.48-7.04vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University-1.43-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.47Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
-
8.25McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
-
3.84Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
2.85Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
-
10.52University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
-
3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.2%1st Place
-
6.23Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
8.4University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.64Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
12.52Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.96Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
-
12.37Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Thomas | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 3.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 14.6% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 28.1% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 14.2% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 17.9% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| Allison Carter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 15.5% | 27.0% | 38.9% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 27.3% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.