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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.01+4.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+3.44vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.05+5.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+4.92vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.44+6.42vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+2.75vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.66+3.91vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-2.45vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.28+1.22vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.98-1.34vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.83+1.77vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-3.94vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.47-3.14vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.87-3.63vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.51-9.23vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-6.87vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.12-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.2%1st Place
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5.44Georgetown University2.7613.2%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University2.054.8%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.2%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University1.443.4%1st Place
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8.75Webb Institute1.735.7%1st Place
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10.91Washington College1.663.5%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania2.429.8%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.6%1st Place
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11.22Columbia University1.283.1%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University1.985.0%1st Place
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13.77Christopher Newport University0.831.3%1st Place
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9.06Cornell University1.704.2%1st Place
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10.86Hampton University1.473.3%1st Place
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11.37Princeton University1.872.9%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Maritime College2.518.8%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.5%1st Place
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15.23William and Mary0.120.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Leopold Brandl | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 22.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.