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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.85vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.79+6.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41-0.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+0.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.59-1.60vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.55-0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.78-0.57vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.48-3.87vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.21-3.51vs Predicted
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15Williams College-1.47-2.50vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-0.85-4.48vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-1.43-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.2%1st Place
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8.21McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
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2.77Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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4.83Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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3.87Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.13Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.5Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.52Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.4Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 31.6% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 14.2% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Allison Carter | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 14.6% | 27.4% | 39.0% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 23.5% | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.