← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.79+7.30vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.55+4.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.59+1.31vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.71+2.31vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.41-3.14vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.78+1.44vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.29vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.36-4.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut-0.21-0.55vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.48-2.86vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.85-10.13vs Predicted
-
15Williams College-1.47-2.46vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-1.43-3.61vs Predicted
-
17Brandeis University-0.85-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.47Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
-
4.31University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.31Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
-
2.86Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
-
8.44University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
3.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.2%1st Place
-
4.73Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.45University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
-
9.14Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
-
3.87Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
-
12.54Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
-
12.39Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
11.49Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anoush Longerstaey | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bloxham | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 27.1% | 23.0% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 18.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 11.6% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Carter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 25.5% | 41.0% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 25.7% | 38.3% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 25.7% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.