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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+1.77vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.71+4.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+0.80vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.79+4.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.59-2.58vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36-3.39vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.78-0.70vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-4.30vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.21-1.53vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.85-1.38vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.48-5.97vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.43-3.62vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.47-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University3.410.3%1st Place
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6.15Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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3.8Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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8.33McGill University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.3University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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11.62Brandeis University-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.03Bates College0.480.0%1st Place
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12.38Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.44Williams College-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 31.5% | 21.4% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anoush Longerstaey | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 13.1% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| William Bloxham | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Michael Partridge | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 24.3% | 17.5% |
| Matthew Moss-Hawkins | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Joaquin Benares | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 28.1% | 35.7% |
| Allison Carter | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 25.7% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.