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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+4.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+3.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.68vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+3.16vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+3.47vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+0.70vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.53+4.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-2.93vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-5.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-5.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.08vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-3.43vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.06-1.56vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-3.91vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.35Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.07Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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5.92Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.44McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.09Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 26.7% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 3.2% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.