Race 1A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Burns 33.1% 28.5% 19.4% 11.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Mraz 38.6% 31.0% 17.6% 8.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 6.3% 7.5% 11.2% 14.4% 16.5% 13.9% 13.1% 9.5% 6.1% 1.5%
Benjamin Koly 2.3% 4.9% 6.4% 10.0% 11.5% 13.5% 15.2% 15.8% 14.1% 6.4%
Griffin Jones 3.3% 5.5% 8.8% 10.3% 12.7% 13.2% 14.1% 14.4% 12.8% 4.9%
Oscar Gilroy 5.3% 6.8% 10.1% 11.2% 13.8% 14.4% 13.9% 11.3% 9.2% 4.0%
Austin Latimer 5.1% 6.2% 11.3% 15.0% 14.4% 13.6% 12.7% 10.8% 8.5% 2.6%
Andrew Martin 1.8% 3.9% 6.4% 8.2% 8.9% 11.2% 11.5% 15.1% 20.4% 12.6%
John Tonzola 3.1% 4.4% 7.3% 8.6% 11.5% 13.4% 14.0% 15.8% 14.0% 7.9%
Julia Marich 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 7.0% 14.8% 60.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.