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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.50vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.12+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.29-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.21vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.60+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.83vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University2.0759.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Hawaii0.4712.0%1st Place
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5.15Western Washington University-0.514.9%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California-0.125.8%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington-0.295.2%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Berkeley-0.226.2%1st Place
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7.27Arizona State University-1.601.7%1st Place
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7.17University of California at San Diego-1.411.2%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 59.4% | 26.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 12.0% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Stephanie Seto | 5.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 6.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 39.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 24.2% | 34.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.