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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+4.63vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+3.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+3.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-2.15vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18-2.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-3.57vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.65+1.06vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.53+0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-5.40vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.06-0.50vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.61vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.11-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.79Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.57Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.94Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.06Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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11.23Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.5McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.7% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 3.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 4.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 28.2% | 8.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 3.8% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 78.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.