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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+4.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.90+4.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+1.56vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+3.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.02vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00-0.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-3.41vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.53+2.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-4.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-4.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-3.41vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.66+0.25vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.06-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.9Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.56Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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11.29Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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5.92Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.92Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.62McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 4.3% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 77.8% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 28.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.