← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.19+7.47vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.61vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+7.37vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.90vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.87vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.76-0.56vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+2.00vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.98+1.81vs Predicted
-
9Washington College1.66+1.98vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.73-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.21+0.78vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.88-2.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.42-6.32vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.44-2.41vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University1.47-3.94vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.12-0.85vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University1.28-5.50vs Predicted
-
18Princeton University1.87-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.47George Washington University2.195.2%1st Place
-
6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.1%1st Place
-
10.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.544.0%1st Place
-
5.9U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.8%1st Place
-
6.87SUNY Maritime College2.519.6%1st Place
-
5.44Georgetown University2.7613.1%1st Place
-
9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.2%1st Place
-
9.81Fordham University1.983.7%1st Place
-
10.98Washington College1.663.5%1st Place
-
8.72Webb Institute1.736.2%1st Place
-
11.78Christopher Newport University1.212.5%1st Place
-
9.54Cornell University1.884.5%1st Place
-
6.68University of Pennsylvania2.429.6%1st Place
-
11.59Old Dominion University1.442.5%1st Place
-
11.06Hampton University1.472.9%1st Place
-
15.15William and Mary0.120.9%1st Place
-
11.5Columbia University1.282.9%1st Place
-
11.54Princeton University1.872.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Brian Fox | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 44.9% |
| Leopold Brandl | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.