← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.73+7.64vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.69vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+6.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.69vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+5.22vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.76-0.56vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.22vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University1.87+3.60vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.01-3.11vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.98-0.07vs Predicted
-
11Washington College1.66+0.15vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.44-0.47vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.19-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.70-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University1.28-3.44vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.12-0.77vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.21-5.34vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University1.47-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.64Webb Institute1.736.0%1st Place
-
6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.8%1st Place
-
9.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.2%1st Place
-
6.69University of Pennsylvania2.4210.2%1st Place
-
10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.543.9%1st Place
-
5.44Georgetown University2.7613.0%1st Place
-
6.78SUNY Maritime College2.518.9%1st Place
-
11.6Princeton University1.872.6%1st Place
-
5.89U. S. Naval Academy3.0111.2%1st Place
-
9.93Fordham University1.983.6%1st Place
-
11.15Washington College1.662.3%1st Place
-
11.53Old Dominion University1.442.4%1st Place
-
8.69George Washington University2.195.1%1st Place
-
9.15Cornell University1.704.3%1st Place
-
11.56Columbia University1.282.6%1st Place
-
15.23William and Mary0.121.0%1st Place
-
11.66Christopher Newport University1.213.4%1st Place
-
11.03Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| JC Hermus | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Leopold Brandl | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 45.6% |
| Brian Fox | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.