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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+5.88vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+3.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.63vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+2.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39-0.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65-2.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-2.40vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-1.45vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.06+1.45vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53-0.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-3.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.59vs Predicted
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15Bates College1.65-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.9Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.63Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.22Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.48Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.45McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.31Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.1Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 29.9% | 8.7% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 4.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 2.3% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.