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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+10.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.71vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+5.70vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+1.96vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+2.49vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-0.96vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.06+4.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26-3.19vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.65+1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-4.37vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.39-6.50vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-6.95vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.16vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-3.56vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.49Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.04Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.43McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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5.81Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.08Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.5Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.44Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 3.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| William Crary | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 29.3% | 9.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 3.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 3.5% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.