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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+7.39vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+3.83vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+3.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+2.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02-0.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.11+1.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.59vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-5.53vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.06+0.49vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.65-2.03vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.53-2.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-10.29vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.66-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.83Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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12.49McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.97Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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11.26Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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15.36University of Connecticut-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 4.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 28.0% | 10.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 2.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 3.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mairead Loschi | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.