← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.59+6.35vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.61+2.41vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.92+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.84+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.06+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.55+1.69vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.67-0.88vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.28-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.29-1.47vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.84-7.18vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut1.13-0.05vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.85-3.11vs Predicted
-
14Bates College0.74-1.09vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.40vs Predicted
-
16McGill University0.56-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.35Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
-
4.41Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
-
6.43Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.81Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.69Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.12University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.46Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.53Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
3.82University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
11.95University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.89Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
12.91Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
13.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
13.46McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 18.1% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Forrest Short | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 22.1% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| Rory Egan | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 32.3% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.