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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.12+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.29-0.20vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-2.03vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.60-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Stanford University2.0759.5%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii0.4713.6%1st Place
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4.72University of Southern California-0.126.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Berkeley-0.225.7%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington-0.295.7%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University-0.514.3%1st Place
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7.09University of California at San Diego-1.411.2%1st Place
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5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.6%1st Place
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7.3Arizona State University-1.601.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 59.5% | 25.8% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 13.6% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Stephanie Seto | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 23.9% | 32.4% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 11.6% |
| Erin Welker | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.