← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.00+7.88vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College1.88+5.76vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.67vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.90+3.56vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.41+0.48vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.69+6.37vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.57+1.72vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.43+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.90-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.57-0.93vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.13-4.13vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy1.97-4.34vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.84-1.21vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.72-2.65vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.53-6.01vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary0.51-3.38vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.59-3.45vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University-0.27-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.005.0%1st Place
-
7.76SUNY Maritime College1.887.1%1st Place
-
5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5713.3%1st Place
-
7.56University of Pennsylvania1.908.1%1st Place
-
5.48Georgetown University2.4112.8%1st Place
-
12.37Washington College0.692.6%1st Place
-
8.72Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
-
8.74Webb Institute1.436.2%1st Place
-
8.63Cornell University1.904.8%1st Place
-
9.07Old Dominion University1.574.3%1st Place
-
6.87George Washington University2.139.0%1st Place
-
7.66U. S. Naval Academy1.976.6%1st Place
-
11.79Princeton University0.842.9%1st Place
-
11.35Hampton University0.722.9%1st Place
-
8.99Fordham University1.535.1%1st Place
-
12.62William and Mary0.511.7%1st Place
-
13.55Christopher Newport University0.592.1%1st Place
-
15.29Columbia University-0.270.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Carraway | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Mais | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heim | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Payne Donaldson | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Michael Burns | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Whisner | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
| Luke Hayes | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Alexander Yuen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.