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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+3.36vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.59+5.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+0.84vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+3.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.67+1.32vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84-0.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-2.18vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.85+0.81vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-1.46vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.28-2.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.53vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-0.02vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.56-0.69vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.42vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.41Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.82Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.81Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.54Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.98Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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13.31McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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13.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 20.7% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Forrest Short | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 21.5% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 28.1% |
| Rory Egan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 33.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.