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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.79vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+2.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+3.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+4.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+1.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+0.79vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.56+6.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.59-0.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.53vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85-1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.67-4.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-4.50vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.74-1.11vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.41vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.37McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.35Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.81Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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12.89Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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13.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 21.9% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 31.3% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Forrest Short | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 32.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.