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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+5.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.59+5.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.13+7.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-2.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.52vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92-1.67vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.67-2.68vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.29-3.53vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-0.02vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-8.08vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.56-1.57vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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9.84Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.98Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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5.92Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.43McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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13.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 11.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.5% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Forrest Short | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 21.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 29.8% |
| Rory Egan | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.