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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+5.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+6.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+3.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.59+3.61vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.74+8.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-2.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.67-0.86vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29-0.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-3.90vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.55-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.130.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.63vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.85-4.18vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.45vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.56-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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13.04Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.48Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.82Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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13.47McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Powell | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 23.1% | 21.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 21.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Forrest Short | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Rory Egan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 31.1% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.