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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.59+6.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.82vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+2.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.92+1.47vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55+1.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-2.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.29+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.67-1.79vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.28-1.43vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.56+2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.130.00vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85-3.13vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-7.39vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.74-1.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University2.550.0%1st Place
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4.5Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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8.39Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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13.32McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.87Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.61Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.05Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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13.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 21.3% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Powell | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Forrest Short | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 28.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 13.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| Rory Egan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.