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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+4.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.55+5.57vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+5.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.67+2.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61-1.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.59+0.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.70vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-2.37vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.56+3.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-7.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.28-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-0.99vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.74-1.09vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-5.00vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.43McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.91Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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10.0Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Powell | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Forrest Short | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 29.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 22.9% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 11.4% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Rory Egan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.