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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+7.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+2.39vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.59+4.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+2.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+0.99vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55+1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-4.29vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29-0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.67-2.71vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.56+2.33vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.92-5.54vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.13-0.99vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.52vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-4.94vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.74-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.99Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.670.1%1st Place
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13.33McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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13.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.06Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.04Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 22.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Forrest Short | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Oriane Longerstaey | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 22.6% | 29.7% |
| Ryan Powell | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
| Rory Egan | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 30.9% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.