← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.52+3.13vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+2.91vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.72+0.68vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.62vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College1.57+4.05vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.16vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.76vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University3.25-3.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Buffalo0.87+1.79vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.06+2.74vs Predicted
-
11Bates College1.32-1.28vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.90vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.74-4.19vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University-0.31-0.79vs Predicted
-
15Sacred Heart University0.12-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.13Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
-
4.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
3.68Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
-
6.62U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.05SUNY Maritime College1.570.0%1st Place
-
3.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
-
5.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
4.8Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.79University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.74Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.72Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.1U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.81Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.21Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.35Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 16.9% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 20.4% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Louis Padnos | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 22.9% | 28.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Colin Keil | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 38.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.