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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.47+2.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.41+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.12+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.29-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41+1.13vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-1.84vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.60-0.70vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Hawaii0.4718.8%1st Place
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2.08Stanford University1.4142.2%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Berkeley-0.228.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Southern California-0.128.6%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington-0.297.6%1st Place
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7.13University of California at San Diego-1.411.9%1st Place
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5.16Western Washington University-0.516.6%1st Place
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7.3Arizona State University-1.601.9%1st Place
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5.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.914.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 18.8% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kit Harned | 42.2% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Stephanie Seto | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 23.1% | 34.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Erin Welker | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 40.4% |
| Claire Wiley | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.