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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.69+3.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.12+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.89-0.60vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-1.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.20-0.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.54-0.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.21-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy0.697.7%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University1.1212.5%1st Place
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2.4U. S. Naval Academy1.8930.7%1st Place
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2.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0537.0%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University0.204.9%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University-0.543.4%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University-0.213.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 9.2% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 12.5% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 30.7% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 37.0% | 27.9% | 19.7% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 22.1% | 16.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 43.1% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.