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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.12+2.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University0.20+3.16vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01-0.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.69-0.23vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.54-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Georgetown University1.1210.6%1st Place
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5.16Georgetown University0.204.7%1st Place
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2.67Georgetown University2.0125.7%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Naval Academy1.8925.2%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy0.695.5%1st Place
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2.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0526.6%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University-0.541.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Patrick Panarella | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 29.3% | 23.4% |
| Daniel Hughes | 25.7% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Walshe | 25.2% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Carminati | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 25.8% | 13.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 26.6% | 25.6% | 21.9% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.