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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.69+3.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01-0.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.20+0.23vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.12-2.02vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.54-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy0.696.2%1st Place
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2.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0527.6%1st Place
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2.65Georgetown University2.0127.3%1st Place
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2.81U. S. Naval Academy1.8923.8%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University0.203.7%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University1.129.2%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University-0.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 26.2% | 23.4% | 13.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 27.6% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Hughes | 27.3% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 23.8% | 23.3% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Murray | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 29.9% | 25.2% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 21.0% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.