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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kelsey Wheeler 11.9% 11.3% 11.0% 12.9% 11.9% 11.6% 9.7% 8.7% 5.6% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Padnos 17.9% 18.5% 14.8% 13.7% 12.4% 9.3% 6.0% 3.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alecsander Tayler 12.5% 11.8% 12.9% 11.9% 12.1% 11.9% 10.9% 6.9% 5.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 3.3% 3.2% 4.7% 8.1% 10.9% 12.3% 15.4% 14.4% 11.8% 5.7% 3.0%
Edward Moan 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 9.8% 12.9% 15.0% 15.3% 9.9% 6.1% 1.9%
Willem Sandberg 14.5% 16.1% 13.6% 15.5% 12.0% 10.3% 7.7% 5.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Peck 6.8% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 10.5% 13.0% 15.0% 11.8% 7.9% 5.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Colin Keil 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 5.0% 6.3% 6.9% 11.7% 12.9% 13.5% 12.5% 10.6% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6%
John Wallace 9.2% 9.2% 10.9% 12.2% 11.9% 11.7% 12.6% 10.0% 6.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Kiss 17.1% 17.6% 17.3% 13.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.0% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Green 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.5% 5.9% 7.0% 10.9% 12.3% 16.3% 15.6% 12.8% 5.9%
Nicholas Wallinder 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 4.5% 4.9% 8.0% 7.2% 13.5% 15.0% 13.8% 11.8% 9.1% 2.9% 0.9%
Josiah Hyatt 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 5.0% 7.6% 12.8% 23.1% 39.6%
Brian Reilly 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 4.0% 6.3% 8.2% 10.5% 17.9% 24.2% 19.7%
Jeffrey Proko 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 5.2% 6.7% 10.2% 15.3% 22.9% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.