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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.92vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.32+7.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.74+5.52vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72-0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.67vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25-1.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.13vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-3.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.98vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.12+2.44vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.68vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.57-2.77vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.87-2.02vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.31-0.82vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.06-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.54Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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3.72Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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3.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.44Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.23SUNY Maritime College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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13.18Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.71Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Colin Keil | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 19.3% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 12.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 16.4% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 23.0% |
| John Wallace | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Green | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 38.5% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 24.2% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.