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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.89+1.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.69+2.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-0.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.20+0.76vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.12-1.60vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.21-0.68vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.54-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37U. S. Naval Academy1.8930.4%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy0.698.1%1st Place
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2.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0536.3%1st Place
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4.76Georgetown University0.204.8%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University1.1215.0%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University-0.212.9%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University-0.542.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 30.4% | 30.2% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Carminati | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 36.3% | 27.2% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 16.1% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 15.0% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 26.5% | 28.4% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 23.4% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.