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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.86vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+2.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+1.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72-2.33vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.79vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.32+1.70vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.74-0.37vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.57-0.90vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.06+1.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy1.22-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.87-2.04vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12-1.63vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.31-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.2%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.8Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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3.67Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.7Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Maritime College1.570.0%1st Place
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12.75Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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12.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.11Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Padnos | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 16.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.3% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 24.4% | 29.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Green | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 20.1% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.