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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+1.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.12+1.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University-0.54+2.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.69-0.74vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.20-1.27vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0535.6%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University1.1213.6%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University-0.542.5%1st Place
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2.38U. S. Naval Academy1.8930.6%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy0.697.6%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University0.206.2%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University-0.213.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 35.6% | 29.8% | 19.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 13.6% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 22.3% | 44.7% |
| Cooper Walshe | 30.6% | 28.5% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Carminati | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 8.2% |
| Patrick Murray | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 22.6% | 16.0% |
| Quinn Sheehan | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 26.4% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.