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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.69+3.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.12+2.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.01-0.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.89-1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.41vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University-0.54+0.01vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.20-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy0.695.8%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.129.6%1st Place
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2.69Georgetown University2.0124.9%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Naval Academy1.8924.6%1st Place
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2.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0528.0%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University-0.542.9%1st Place
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5.2Georgetown University0.204.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Carminati | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 25.7% | 13.2% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Hughes | 24.9% | 25.6% | 22.2% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 24.6% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 28.0% | 25.1% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Winters | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 56.0% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 30.5% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.