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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.12+2.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+0.76vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University0.20+2.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.01-1.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.69-1.27vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University-0.54-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Georgetown University1.1210.1%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy1.8923.8%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University0.204.7%1st Place
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2.72Georgetown University2.0125.9%1st Place
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2.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0527.5%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Naval Academy0.696.4%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University-0.541.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Patrick Panarella | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 6.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 23.8% | 25.4% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Murray | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 29.8% | 22.9% |
| Daniel Hughes | 25.9% | 23.1% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 27.5% | 24.2% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Carminati | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 25.9% | 14.1% |
| Kathryn Winters | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 20.1% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.