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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+3.36vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.41vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+2.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.67-0.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+0.56vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.54+0.68vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.00+0.82vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80-2.25vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.46vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.06-2.25vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-4.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.28-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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4.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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8.75Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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13.46Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.75Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.54Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.22U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 21.0% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Robertson | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 12.5% | 3.1% |
| John Cappetta | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 44.4% | 27.9% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 21.6% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.