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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+4.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+2.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.48vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.67-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.00+3.65vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.54-1.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.68vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80-2.25vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.48vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.06-2.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.28+0.24vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.47-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.13Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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10.65University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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6.67Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.75Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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13.48Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.76Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.24U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.56Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 14.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.6% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Clara Robertson | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| John Cappetta | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| David Tampellini | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 43.5% | 30.3% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 23.3% | 63.5% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.