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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+3.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+1.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+1.94vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+0.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+3.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.27vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.02vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00+1.78vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.47vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.54-4.37vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.06-1.22vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.47-3.24vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.16-1.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.43-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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3.61Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.94Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.37Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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8.66Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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5.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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10.78Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.76Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.88Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.77U. S. Military Academy-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 21.0% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 1.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 9.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Robertson | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 23.1% | 12.9% | 0.5% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 52.4% | 8.0% |
| Michael Bajuz | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 89.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.