← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.74vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego1.38+1.67vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.11+2.43vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.67+0.68vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.43vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-1.51vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.47vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.51-1.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington0.46-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.8930.6%1st Place
-
3.67University of California at San Diego1.3818.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of Oregon0.117.0%1st Place
-
4.68Western Washington University0.6710.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of California at Los Angeles0.327.7%1st Place
-
4.49University of California at Santa Cruz1.0311.2%1st Place
-
6.53University of California at Berkeley-0.254.3%1st Place
-
6.85Western Washington University-0.512.7%1st Place
-
5.18University of Washington0.468.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 30.6% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 18.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Avey | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 27.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 34.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.