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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.41+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.41+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.47+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.12+0.67vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.29-2.18vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.60-0.68vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University1.4142.4%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego-1.412.9%1st Place
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3.28University of Hawaii0.4718.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California-0.127.9%1st Place
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5.17Western Washington University-0.516.9%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Berkeley-0.227.6%1st Place
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4.82University of Washington-0.298.4%1st Place
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7.32Arizona State University-1.601.7%1st Place
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5.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Harned | 42.4% | 27.1% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 23.0% | 32.9% |
| Malia Johnson | 18.2% | 21.3% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 41.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.