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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+2.67vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.54+3.57vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+0.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+0.55vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11-0.92vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.03vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.85vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06+0.64vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.80-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00-1.03vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.16-0.06vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-4.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.43-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.38Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.64Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.74Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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12.94Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.54Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.76U. S. Military Academy-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 21.0% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Robertson | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 11.7% | 1.0% |
| John Cappetta | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 25.8% | 14.2% | 0.5% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 14.6% | 55.1% | 8.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Bajuz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 7.0% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.