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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.46+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.11+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-0.42vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67-1.44vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78California Poly Maritime Academy1.8930.5%1st Place
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3.79University of California at San Diego1.3815.3%1st Place
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5.09University of Washington0.468.5%1st Place
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5.5University of Oregon0.116.5%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Cruz1.0311.1%1st Place
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4.56Western Washington University0.6710.7%1st Place
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6.87Western Washington University-0.513.7%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Los Angeles0.328.9%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Berkeley-0.255.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 30.5% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Emily Avey | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 36.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.