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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.41vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.87+6.41vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.37+0.43vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+0.23vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.67-2.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.72vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.54-2.42vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.80-1.18vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.06-0.28vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.16+1.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-1.28+1.39vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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4.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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5.23Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.1Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.82Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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13.18Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.39U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.61Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 14.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.4% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Clara Robertson | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 3.2% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 14.5% | 44.8% | 21.4% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 15.3% | 72.4% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.