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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+4.01vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+0.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.54+2.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37-0.51vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.55vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.80vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-0.28vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06+0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo1.00-0.17vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-2.18vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87-4.26vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.16-0.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.28-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.49Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.72Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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9.82Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.08Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.27U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 14.1% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 21.8% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Robertson | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 2.5% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 4.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 43.4% | 21.0% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.