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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.46+1.08vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.67-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.11-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.71-1.17vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.8927.7%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego1.3819.1%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.0311.8%1st Place
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5.08University of Washington0.468.8%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University0.6710.5%1st Place
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5.35University of Oregon0.118.1%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Los Angeles0.327.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Berkeley-0.713.4%1st Place
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6.78Western Washington University-0.513.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 27.7% | 24.4% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 19.1% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Avey | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 9.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 33.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.