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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+3.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+1.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+3.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.54+1.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.49vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.06+3.58vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.59vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-0.29vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-4.87vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-5.49vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00-0.99vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.16+0.13vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-4.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.28-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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10.58Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.59SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.71Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.13Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.66Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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14.28U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 22.1% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Clara Robertson | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 12.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| John Cappetta | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 41.6% | 23.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 18.0% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.