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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+3.47vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+2.97vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.42vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80+3.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.54+0.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.37-2.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.67-4.29vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06+1.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.70vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.47-1.36vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.00-2.04vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.16-0.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.28-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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4.97Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.74Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.38Dartmouth College3.370.2%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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10.66Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.64Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.79SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.05Sacred Heart University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Military Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Clara Robertson | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 15.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 20.9% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 15.3% | 2.9% |
| Tatum McLaughlin | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 40.7% | 21.3% |
| Meagan Brosnan | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 15.8% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.