← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.83vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+2.47vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.38+0.66vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.46+1.02vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon0.11+0.40vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.67-1.36vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.69vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.51-1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.71-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.8928.7%1st Place
-
4.47University of California at Santa Cruz1.0311.2%1st Place
-
3.66University of California at San Diego1.3818.4%1st Place
-
5.02University of Washington0.469.3%1st Place
-
5.4University of Oregon0.117.5%1st Place
-
4.64Western Washington University0.6710.3%1st Place
-
5.31University of California at Los Angeles0.327.3%1st Place
-
6.86Western Washington University-0.513.7%1st Place
-
6.8University of California at Berkeley-0.713.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 28.7% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 18.4% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Emily Avey | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 33.5% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.