Race 1A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Amanda Taselaar 9.0% 10.4% 11.5% 11.3% 10.7% 11.4% 11.8% 9.3% 7.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 11.7% 12.3% 12.1% 12.8% 11.5% 12.4% 8.9% 7.9% 6.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 11.3% 13.8% 14.5% 10.3% 12.4% 11.2% 9.4% 7.8% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 8.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 10.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.9% 8.6% 7.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Mary Hall 27.6% 22.8% 16.0% 12.7% 8.3% 5.2% 3.9% 3.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.1% 11.4% 12.2% 13.2% 11.5% 11.6% 9.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Linor Berezin 2.3% 1.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 8.8% 13.1% 22.6% 22.8% 6.3%
Eleanor Conroy 3.5% 5.3% 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.9% 9.6% 12.9% 15.9% 14.3% 10.5% 4.6% 0.5%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.7% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 4.9% 5.4% 5.1% 8.1% 11.8% 16.2% 19.0% 15.0% 2.9%
Maria Sinagra 8.8% 6.8% 9.9% 10.7% 10.8% 9.4% 11.3% 10.7% 9.3% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 3.1% 3.7% 4.8% 6.8% 7.1% 6.5% 9.7% 11.9% 13.1% 14.4% 12.4% 5.2% 1.3%
Ellen Hubbard 0.4% 1.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 3.4% 5.5% 9.5% 17.1% 34.3% 17.9%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 1.9% 3.2% 5.4% 15.1% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.