Race 2A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Arielle DeLisser 11.7% 13.2% 12.1% 12.4% 12.8% 11.1% 9.3% 7.4% 5.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 12.1% 12.8% 13.8% 11.2% 12.9% 10.6% 8.9% 9.4% 4.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 5.8% 8.8% 9.3% 10.5% 11.9% 9.9% 11.7% 11.5% 9.0% 7.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.4% 12.8% 11.0% 11.1% 11.5% 11.2% 12.1% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 8.8% 7.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.9% 11.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Mary Hall 28.0% 21.5% 15.6% 13.1% 8.9% 5.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 11.5% 9.6% 10.9% 9.2% 11.6% 13.0% 10.0% 10.8% 6.1% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 3.6% 4.6% 3.8% 5.3% 5.0% 8.0% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7% 15.7% 12.3% 6.9% 0.5%
Ellen Hubbard 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 6.8% 7.9% 17.6% 35.9% 15.4%
Linor Berezin 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.0% 10.7% 13.9% 24.8% 18.6% 8.8%
Eleanor Conroy 3.7% 3.8% 6.2% 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 9.2% 13.3% 12.2% 14.5% 9.3% 4.9% 1.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 4.4% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 10.5% 17.7% 18.8% 16.0% 2.9%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.9% 3.3% 5.1% 14.9% 70.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.