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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.67vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+2.36vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.72+3.87vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85-0.09vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.30+2.75vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.87+2.60vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.42+1.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.93vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-5.34vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.81+0.27vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.81-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.36Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.91Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.75Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.6Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Virginia0.420.0%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.3%1st Place
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5.66George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.27Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.74Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 3.1% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 7.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Hubbard | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 18.9% | 34.8% | 16.3% |
| Mary Hall | 28.1% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 70.9% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.