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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+2.48vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.25+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11+0.44vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67-1.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.46-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.32-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of California at San Diego1.3817.8%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Cruz1.0312.6%1st Place
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2.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.8930.6%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley-0.253.5%1st Place
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5.44University of Oregon0.116.2%1st Place
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4.72Western Washington University0.6710.3%1st Place
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6.78Western Washington University-0.514.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington0.468.4%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles0.326.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 30.6% | 24.6% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 27.6% |
| Emily Avey | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 33.6% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.