Race 4A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johanna Monro 3.1% 4.3% 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 7.5% 9.8% 11.3% 13.9% 15.1% 13.8% 5.4% 0.7%
Andrea Luna 12.5% 11.7% 13.9% 12.3% 12.9% 10.7% 8.8% 7.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 10.0% 14.1% 11.7% 12.4% 13.2% 12.0% 9.5% 7.1% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Linor Berezin 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 6.6% 8.2% 15.0% 22.3% 23.0% 6.6%
Mary Hall 27.8% 22.1% 16.5% 12.2% 9.0% 5.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.7% 10.6% 11.7% 13.5% 12.1% 11.0% 9.1% 8.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Amanda Taselaar 11.1% 9.7% 11.3% 11.5% 10.9% 11.3% 10.1% 8.6% 8.6% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Marissa Golison 7.6% 9.6% 9.6% 7.9% 11.0% 11.6% 12.8% 9.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Maria Sinagra 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.9% 10.1% 11.3% 11.3% 11.4% 9.2% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 3.9% 3.5% 4.6% 6.1% 9.1% 11.4% 15.8% 19.0% 13.5% 4.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.6% 4.2% 5.4% 7.4% 6.5% 7.9% 10.1% 13.1% 12.9% 12.3% 10.3% 5.2% 1.1%
Ellen Hubbard 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 6.5% 11.2% 14.8% 34.9% 17.1%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 1.8% 3.1% 6.9% 14.6% 69.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.