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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.46+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.11+0.52vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.67-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.48vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84California Poly Maritime Academy1.8927.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego1.3818.2%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Cruz1.0312.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Washington0.468.3%1st Place
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5.52University of Oregon0.117.1%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University0.6712.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Los Angeles0.326.9%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Berkeley-0.254.8%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University-0.513.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 27.1% | 23.0% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Emily Avey | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Dalton Lovett | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 28.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.