Race 5A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johanna Monro 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 6.5% 8.0% 7.5% 11.5% 14.2% 16.5% 13.6% 5.6% 1.0%
Mary Hall 26.0% 19.8% 17.5% 13.5% 8.2% 7.5% 3.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 9.8% 13.7% 13.8% 10.8% 12.3% 12.1% 10.2% 7.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 7.7% 7.8% 12.3% 16.6% 20.6% 13.5% 2.9%
Arielle DeLisser 12.8% 11.8% 11.6% 11.1% 11.5% 11.6% 10.5% 8.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Amanda Taselaar 10.0% 10.1% 8.5% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 12.4% 9.3% 7.2% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.3% 11.5% 10.7% 13.1% 11.4% 10.4% 9.2% 9.0% 7.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 7.1% 8.7% 8.3% 8.8% 11.4% 11.2% 13.3% 10.9% 9.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 11.8% 12.6% 13.8% 11.7% 13.1% 9.4% 10.1% 7.9% 6.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Linor Berezin 1.3% 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 5.8% 9.4% 14.2% 23.3% 22.3% 8.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.5% 3.3% 5.2% 7.3% 5.4% 8.1% 9.1% 14.2% 12.5% 14.1% 11.1% 5.1% 1.1%
Ellen Hubbard 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 6.7% 10.5% 16.5% 33.7% 17.6%
Sydney Mandelbaum 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 5.8% 16.7% 69.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.